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Aubrey Portwood

Why Google+ won’t pan out and replace (or beat) Facebook; Google+ vs. Facebook: Facebook will win

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Okay, now this is just my opinion- just my prediction, I could totally be wrong about this one. I haven’t even got an invite yet to try it out, I just keep reading about it and people keep bringing it up. Now, there is some reasoning to why I think Google+ won’t pan out and replace Facebook:

  • People are lazy
  • Facebook can do it
  • People have short attention spans
  • People don’t like too many things
  • People just want to make money
  • People don’t want to desert their friends

Now, first, people are lazy. That’s right. Sure, I might “migrate” all my Facebook stuff over to Google+ because I’m an impulsive nerd who would do that kind of thing, but most people are lazy. They have already established their identity on Facebook and it’s just a matter of time before Facebook will do it too. This is how I see it happening. People will use Google+ for that one really cool feature they actually liked (we all know that is Hangouts). They’ll use it for special situations too, like certain groups or get-together’s, but mostly five people will hangout in a Hangout once, just to play with it. Then, Facebook will come up with something similar, and they’ll stop using it and forget about their Google+ page; people have really short attention spans.

Yeah, sure, some people are going to use it. It really has to be a cool thing if people are really talking about it. But, for the most part, it’s just another Facebook page to everyone else…and I’ve already got one. I’m not putting Google+ down, it might be awesome, but I’m already doing that somewhere else- only impulsive nerds are going to hyper-manage their profiles, for the rest of the world, people don’t like too many things, meaning too many profiles. You see, I use Twitter because it is not a profile service, it’s just status updates, so it works. For my chatting, personal messaging, and photos, I use Facebook. Google+ is trying to be Facebook. Not the company, but another Facebook page, and I don’t need one.

Now, Google+ is going to have a honeymoon period, because of the geeks and the fact that people just want to make money. It’s another avenue to market, so of course people are adding +1’s and Google+ accounts, but it’s just marketing!

I’m not trying to put down Google+. I haven’t even tried it and I already know that I am going to think it is awesome, but among these facts is one simple thing that Google+ is going to have a hard time with: people don’t want to desert their friends. Yeah, how the hell am I going to get all my friends over to Google+? I just convinced my friend Crystal to get one! I set up my mom’s Facebook page! This problem is going to plague Google+ as long as Facebook doesn’t start sucking (remember MySpace?). As long as Facebook keeps being awesome, my friends are not going to want to switch. Google should be praying that Facebook screws up…big time. But, Facebook, knowing Google+ is around, may just watch their steps from now on and be good boys and girls.

This is just my opinion. I’m really thinking about the people that use this stuff and I just don’t see it going very far. But, maybe they don’t care… I just have been telling this to my friends when they bring it up, and on most things they agree with me, so I thought I’d share. What do you think?